Tuesday, March 4, 2008

" the Hong Kong"s share vehicle of straight line " open-minded opportunity maturation? - Shen article soundly rich guest

" the Hong Kong's share[ label:[ label:[ label: As Hong Kong's share appears to adjust considerably, the subject of " the Hong Kong's share vehicle of straight line " arouses different aspects attention again. Last week, on the market of Hong Kong, there is hearsay name, It is expected that " the Hong Kong's share vehicle of straight line" will be most opened quickly in 4 or 5, because the work of inland educational investor has been done almost.Do " the Hong Kong's share vehicle of straight line " prepare to go to position? First, will see the adjustment of Hong Kong's share later. Permanent raw index October 30 of last year achieves at 31.95841 thousand o'clock is new and high, January 22 of this year minimum fall to at 21.70963 thousand o'clock, duration adjustment range reaches 32.07%. Hereafter though, the rebound that arises greater range but encounters again, especially the index rising 10.72% of 23th on 28th to fall , now having not appeared stop fall Qi steady sign. For domestic original plan the investor of " rush first regular bus "," the Hong Kong's share vehicle of straight line" is late, make them escape death by sheer luck. If the National Day of last year around is anxious to open " the Hong Kong's share vehicle of straight line" , though , there are inland fund "reinforcement" in the market of Hong Kong, also may not can flee the concussion that loan crisis brings. This from Asia-Pacific the stock market is general to fall in the weight of the and A site of the stock market Cuo may see , the fund effect of " the Hong Kong's share vehicle of straight line " may reduce the adjustment range of Hong Kong's share , but is hard to change Gao Wei of Hong Kong's share to adjust tendency. Hong Kong's share in last few years overall is showy relatively, permanent raw index rises from the points more than 8300 of April 2003 to climb all the way to rise, greater rise accumulates certain risk unavoidably. Add the policy " the Hong Kong's share vehicle of straight line" again to announce rear urgent rise , index Qi have the possibility that not adjusted. Also just because of this, near future of Hong Kong's share is declining destiny the American concussion of the stock market, but permanent livelihood index fall long-range the index of Dow Jones.Now," the Hong Kong's share vehicle of straight line" is discussed again into heat, last week is hearsay continuously. A kind of saying is , outside pipe department official expresses that is studying " the Hong Kong's share vehicle of straight line"; News is claimed , the bank high pipe of Hong Kong of East Asia is expressed , It is expected that " the Hong Kong's share vehicle of straight line" will be most opened quickly in 4 or 5. However, dregs the dozen conducted directors of Hong Kong simultaneously administrative president flood Pi is thinking , the open-minded time of " the Hong Kong's share vehicle of straight line " need to depend on the factors such as risk and mechanism, specific time is hard to now still determine that but, inland expectation increases channel , lets the tendency that fund flows be affirmed.Somebody thinks that adjusts considerably, have reduced the market risk of Hong Kong's share, especially share A and H share, price difference pulls , is big, protruding to have shown the investment value of Hong Kong's share. If now, not enter city while copying base during the adjustment of the stock market, afterwards perhaps, there is nearly impossible to be such opportunity. On the other hand, Hong Kong's this share adjustment is the risk that good investor most educates and lets inland investor have seen overseas market between, know international the stock market unite to move sex, as well as basic surface the influence of expected change to overseas market. Especially QDII adjusts by Hong Kong's share to implicate , it is gold everywhere to make inland investor realize overseas market to be not , even more A share having hit the H share folded also has market risk all the same, for instance, it is half that Chinese petroleum H has been cut in half almost in share 3 months.So, " the Hong Kong's share vehicle of straight line " open whether real opportunity maturation? What needs are reminded is that before loan crisis has not finished , lets investor participate in Hong Kong's share investment rashly , is surely not reliable practice.So-called opportunity maturation should at least include two meanings, one is that investor has got ample ideological preparation , has ability and guard against investment risk consciously. See for present condition, if think that inland investor has looked on one Hong Kong's share adjustment, it is a kind of immature opinion perhaps for that investor educates position. It can deal with the market risk of Hong Kong's share if the concussion adjustment that sees Hong Kong's share does not represent it after city. Before QDII fund begins running in last year, loan disturbance has had a wave influence in August for global the stock market, but QDII fund is anxious to build storehouse deliberately wrongly, ample reflection makes the risk management ability of its effective lack, market concussion of August has no to play the part of any risk educational role for QDII fund. Inland personal investor is also so, intrude upon overseas market hastily very possible weight Dao the track of an overturned cart of QDII fund. In fact, relevant aspect plans temporarily " the Hong Kong's share vehicle of straight line " to put when one side, according to the investor education of Hong Kong's share, develop very limited, most of investors even the basic knowledge of lack Hong Kong's share investment in.2 is market risk is relatively lower, will not recur for same year B share internal open " after big rise and fall ". It is slumped on 28th again that Hong Kong's share now still gets the influence of the American concussion of the stock market , the same day permanent raw index falls 4.25%. At least in the first half of this year, being very good at say the influence of loan crisis, can mark period. Beautiful forest group CEO squeezes in kindness 26th when reach Wo this world economic forum annual meeting goes up remind , " the source of loan crisis, is American room price decrease. The economic stimulate of American government is planed and America unites store up lower interest considerably, for room, price will not produce direct influence, so, Fang city does not see base. "As loan crisis returns meeting "aftershock" is unceasing, why can you again let the inland investor that lacks risk originally to guard against ability go to the stock market of Hong Kong to take risk easily? The fund effect that " the Hong Kong's share vehicle of straight line " bring slows down loan impact perhaps for Hong Kong's share, have positive role, but may also make inland fund become to sacrifice object. For this, management level must have sober brains. The adjustment of Hong Kong's share hard to avoid make Hong Kong aspect for" the Hong Kong's share vehicle of straight line" open-minded voice strengthening, but when making policy , can not regard only " the Hong Kong's share vehicle of straight line " to do to save the plan of city , and must consider more overall. Thanks

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