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In 2007, the land market of China is calm and noisy coexistence. Normalize in calmness perfect and improve further with order; In noise, price of land is continued to climb to rise, quite have in the aspect of industrial land " make one focus attention " act. Actually, no matter fast rising is still little fluctuation, the deciphering for land price is not more simple more digital comparison absolutely , and need to be distinguished and analysed.銆€銆€The annual
Show according to the data of the nation-wide city development inspection of price of land, 2007, nation-wide key city the overall level of price of land reflected tends to continuously change high just speed universal rapid in the level of the same period of 2006 years; The key regional expressions such as the Yangtze River delta and pearl river delta have different, specific condition each as follows: The nation-wide major city overall tendency of price of land: Go up continuously , is resident being higher than commercial price of land with the industrial increasing rate of price of land up to the third quarter of the year and nation-wide major city synthesize the overall level of price of land, is the / square meter of 1653 Yuan, 2007 goes to the nation-wide major city overall ring of the third quarter of the year of price of land first is 7% than the level of growth rate, compare first with 2006 to the same period of the third quarter of the year, the rising of increasing rate 4.39 percentage points; The commercial, resident, industrial ring of price of land is 5.13% respectively than growth rate , 8.14% and 8.18%, differentiate rising 2.68, 4.92 and 6.05 percentage points first with 2006 compared with the growth rate of the third quarter of the year of the same period , and have exceeded the growth rate of price of land of the annual various lands of 2006 years respectively. In which, the price of land of the third quarter of the year overall increase speed is most remarkable, the ring of the second quarter of the year of the same year reaches 3.59% and the same period of 2006 years than growth rate to compare , increasing rate same than rising 2.49 percentage points. Live to use the shelf of price of land , in 2007, the ring of the third quarter of the year is more biggest than increasing rate , reaches 4.88%; Industrial land, the highest value of increasing rate appears in the first quarter of the year of 2007 years , gets the bottom price of industrial land to sell the effect influence " it is stiff to pull liter" of policy , the industrial increasing rate of the first quarter of the year of price of land is higher than the commercial, resident land increasing rate of the same period for the first time , reaches 4.70%; Compared with residence and industry, in each quarter of 2007, commercial price of land may be the little rising of " do not warm up not fire ", but also obvious rapid in the level of 2006 years.
The typical regional situation
Up to the third quarter of the year, the Yangtze River delta, pearl river delta and the Beijing-Tianjin region average level of price of land are the / square meters of 3775 Yuan respectively , the / square meter of 2414 Yuan and the / square meter of 3041 Yuan. The third quarter of the year and the second quarter of the year of 2007 years than, growth rate is 1.54% respectively , 2.02% and 5.78%. Compared with the third quarter of the year and the same period of the third quarter of the year of 2006 years, long triangle and Beijing-Tianjin region increase of difference compared with the same period last year , is 1.31 , 5.05 percentage points, pearl triangle region same than decrease 0.81 percentage points. Minute use, 3 key regional resident land increasing rates are higher than the commercial increasing rate of industrial land , in which the region business of the Yangtze River delta and the resident increasing rate of industrial land of the third quarter of the year are 1.51% respectively, ,
2.07% and 0.33%, pearl river delta region is 2.09% , 2.42% and 0.94%, Beijing-Tianjin region is 5.38% , 6.83% and 4.12%. Beijing-Tianjin region is stimulated by the Beijing market of real estate, the 3 kinds of use increasing rate of price of land is higher than long triangle and pearl triangle region.
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Market new Zheng next industrial
Go up state , in 2007, the industrial stroke of price of land has made " not ordinary increase curve", its reason is not the invisible hand of market , lies in the hand of the strong tendency of policy more. In 2006, base has sent under the Ministry of Land and Natural Resources" the notice about issuing enforcement
The condition that this does not exceed 1% with the former industrial quarterly growth rate of price of land of some years is utterly different, having embodied the price of industrial land is tending to rational return step by step. But what should pay attention is that 2007, land new Zheng is in enforcement initial stage, it is entered that some local markets have not followed in time, so on the market of industrial land, have arisen intrinsic value i.e. the "entanglement" of 3 kinds of price , market price and lowest price limit. In which, market price is that the buyers and sellers on market reaches consistent price level, receive in the past the continuity influence of twisted market, in have formed industrial land in some regions sell low price level market , the buyer's market of " with project chooses land ", right now " claim market price ", is a kind of is lower than cost , not normal price. And lowest price limit has emphasized more that government, with price lever, deploies the rare land resource that is short of , and promotes economic well development with industry the policy goal of reasonable layout. One is the tool sold with low price , one is the means of government adjusting control, will inevitably cause " old market price " to have remarkable gap between " new policy price ", and deviate in its intrinsic value , so is the industrial inspection of price of land , assessment work brings surely technical influence. This kind of condition may get alleviation step by step after estimating to form and have greater trade quantity generally in the market of industrial land of standard.
At the same time, the industrial land of 2007 years new Zheng also show further between have melted local government and central government rich Yi relation. Seek investment from overseas as well known, for a long time, with cheap industrial land, gaining money with the land of the commercial house of Gao Qi to mend the operating mode of loss is some local government operations city " wonderful side ". " price red line" enact , have synthesized central government when protection rare is short of resource, the economic layout of adjusting control and change to let land the aspects such as structure various intention. The author thinks , for essence, the price change behind of industrial land, what embody is that government when economy, resource and the balance between the 3 persons of the people's livelihood and choice. In fact, no matter central government is still local government, knows the price of industrial land in the role of " subtleness " in economic development , also know land resource rare is short of and plough the seriousness that runs off , know industrial project land more with the lands of the people's livelihood such as residence when for the structural relation of " this eliminates that length " on quantity. How to use price lever cooperate with land index, the relation between the 3 persons of adjusting control not only needs perhaps" shrewd commercially minded" , needs the arms of science-based philosophy of development thought more.
The resident price of land
Though the room of adjusting control the policy of price has enacted is a lot of, but 2007, some building cities of region still " create repeatedly is high ". At the same time," day price"" land king" etc. words when domestic media " appear again and again ", people seem also " smell for a long time not Jing ". So, the saying about " your flour error bread " causes people again for room the attention of the price correlation of price of land. Actually, with" flour and bread" as " price of land and room price " analogize , seeing seem simple and clear , but have neglected professional characteristic i.e. the attribute of merchandise and the feature of market. On the one hand, land and the characteristic of house self are different from ordinary merchandise, on the other hand, the market of real estate is regional , monopoly also does not allow overlook. Look so, price of land and room the relation of price again Qi is" bread and flour" can can summarize.
2007, Chinese land survey program courtyard price of land place for Beijing 2003 so as recruit racket way this land as well as land sold go up the price of the commercial house established to sell has followed up and investigate , the data that these come from in market shows that now, on the Beijing market of real estate, the proportion in the price of the commercial house that land reality takes for getting price is 23.88% in average, the price of the commercial house is the more high, the room of price of land price than is the more low, in which the estate with room price below the / square meter of 5000 Yuan, price of land takes room the proportion of price is highest, it is 28.47% in average; The estate with room price more than the / square meter of 20 thousand Yuan, price of land takes room the proportion of price is minimum, it is 16.85% in average; See from estate type, the price of land of business room takes room the proportion of price is minimum, the price of land of ordinary house takes room the proportion of price is highest, reach 27.53%. This group of data that directly comes from in market may be found out , the price of land of actual trade takes room the proportion of price is around 1 / 4 approximately. So on a few of plots, "flour" is to how to be higher than "bread", that is because the enthusiasms of market investment and speculation run high , the future social psychological personal value for "bread" has produced extraordinary expectation, right now, the curve feature of supply and demand and the price of house product have been different from general goods.
Actually, the market environment of present situation takes off , room the relation of price and the interaction of price of land does not allow really to regard. We think , on the one hand, room price and market expected direct role price of land, this accords with the basic law of market economy, room price rising - - the development of real estate investment increases - - land demand to go up , land competitive intense - - price of land rises; On the other hand, price of land action is important to build one of room cost, the state in seller strong tendency market takes off , can also influence room indirectly on certain degree price, especially strong market expects and speculates , demand is monopolized with seller , Xi sell the time that etc. factor combines together. This also embodies in the data of the city development inspection of price of land: In 2007, resident price of land always presents higher rising tendency form, expression in the third quarter of the year particularly
Stick out. In 2007, it is 1.81% first respectively to the new ring of the third quarter of the year of the commercial house of selling price than growth rate , 2.52% and 4.77%, the same period and resident price of land surround , is 1.22% respectively than growth rate , 1.87% and 4.88%, in which, the resident ring of the third quarter of the year of price of land is higher than the similar index of the new selling price of the commercial house for the first time than the rise of growth rate, this phenomenon deserves to pay attention to closely.
Seek the balanced point
In general, in 2007, the hot major embodiment of the situation of price of land of our country gets the standard of industrial land of lowest price limit in industrial and two resident classifications and public bidding auction starts the business etc. the influence of macroscopic policy, industrial price of land picks up substantially; Get demand stimulate , resident price of land also presents more rapid increase situation. Index and the important attribute as land market, the curve of price of land has reflected market tendency again sensitively.
Decipher the recent fluctuation message of price of land , may find out that the fast development of national macroeconomics increases for the pressure continuity of land demand , the price of the commercial house go to high and land resource continuously is relatively rare to be short of sex, have decided the increased long-term tendency of land price. Though in 2007, the increasing rate of price of land is still smaller than other most economic norms , but has arisen resident price of land in quarterly data with room price increasing rate basic fair even omit high sign; Industrial price of land is arisen by strong tendency policy influence level leap liter.
Many phenomenons show , along with standard and the cultivation of the land market of our country, business , live , work various price of lands have since having no , since low go to high rational return already can reflect market basically, price of land becomes really" the barometer of market". But as a kind of rare public resource that is short of , land price is not the more high the more good disposition direction of land obviously can not also deliver completely with structure decide from the market with economic interests as core. This has further shown role and the importance of correct land policy in being macro-controled. And establish what land policy, how to again guarantee these policies not quilt local government " place dissolves ", in every place, have implemented efficiently , is crucial place. Price of land is land market policy the effect of enforcement reflection, at the same time, it is also lever or the tool of policy propulsion , is manager and investor between , social the public the focus place of viewpoint collision. 2007, the enforcement of the policy of industrial land of price limit has caused the market of industrial land change , later role how to, whether can realize the multiple expected effect of policy to stay yet survey further. Is same, when with the house of closely related the people's livelihood land market aspect, guide and the intervention of how to should adopt correctness policy, deserving to be gone deep into think deeply.
Source: Chinese
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