Monday, February 25, 2008

In 2020, China has no middle class still

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In book< personname w:st=on productid=闄?It< personname/>Professor2020In year, China will have the< personname w:st=on productid=闄?It< personname/>The beauty of professor1999Annual statistics, in15%, and11.2The speed of percentage point22%23%Control. Is in Beijing , Shanghai and Guangzhou2020It will be reached33%It is even

< personname w:st=on productid=闄?It< personname/>It is that professor6-50The RMB of 10 thousand2In more2020Have only13In year, time says that is short and not short , saying that length is also not seemingly have many lengthes. " in produce stratum ", or say ," middle class" , can let the Chinese ones of 1/3 have good fortune to join , this is a beautiful tempting scene really. The people of the whole country, how many persons smell is elated , run around spreading the news. Chinese the earth seems to wear together supernatural light, right off spring scenery bright and beautiful, bird language colored perfume, outstanding achievement is being red.

"middle class",Middle Class, the frequency that this word arises on foreign newspaper media is not very high, this one that reason relies on for being them system urges to have given birth to countless million must the millionaire of hundreds of millions. Rich person is everywhere, government department or nongovernmental organization no necessity investigates painstakingly those in the life situation of higher income crowd. In say America , produce person to take nation-wide total population80%. North European Swedish country is also not exceptional , seeks a adult casually to chat , is to hit the personal value of base with million savings. Is definite, their wages income of one day happens is our salary income of urban resident of one month.

Is so in China , have to let foreigner scrape eye2005Year9Month, People's Bank of China issues27.51Wan 100 million Yuan; It51%Resident save20%Few rich individual is20%Rich individual have possessed

" for calculation convenience, if we regard3Calculation,13The population4.3100 million20%- - can't900010 thousand27.51In Wan Yi resident14The 100 millions1510 thousand Yuan. If contrast1/3-1/2May classify so called 'middle1The persons1100 million. "(

From above data believe:2This saying of the persons of 100 million is invalid. People have to doubt whether this is domestic a set of excellent theory that economist advocates to rely on bureaucratic stratum expression. Why will I so think? Reason a: Because our society needs a batch of group as "middle class", they are the adhesion things of this social stabilizing agent and worry, when its quantity reaches certain proportion, entire social basic frame and order are also stabilized correspondingly. They ask from root Xiang and , safety. Social mainstream worths with extant order is they incline the constant identification sense of feelings, they are the person of vested interest of this social order , have drawn the facial type of a harmony.

However, I will say: This is impossible!

In China, have no survival soil of " middle class " and campaign space. This is decided because of the social property of China. China is large country, a party since Zheng large country. Party palm controls economic big pulse. Party radiance is lofty, all-embracing. Does "middle class" denote what? Abroad, "middle class" represents , have the group of act enough weight interests relation on economy. They may do financial aid for the certain a election of political party , but never depend on in the lead of political party. Namely," it is "middle class"" it is to handle affairs according to market rule always to represent , do not see any expression of party grouping or any government leader to handle affairs. This is not force confrontation! Is not!

Is in China , ideology decision everything, any little divergence may be regarded as a kind of confrontation expression in ideology. As can the stratum that contends with with ruling party has not appeared so far, so again what come to" be "middle class"" one word? Have "middle class" in China if must say to exist , the representative of the most of so this "middle class" should in concentrate embodiment when upper levels and upper levels, it is also the manager boss of the partial leading cadres of the senior level and partial big enterprises , partially big private entrepreneur. . . . . . . Their feature is: Or get in touch less with local power organization or right stratum. They, still, besides possessing certain economic strength, have a feature that is: Can protect own private property efficiently. This kind of social structure and have continued the feudal system of thousands of years what distinguishes? Perhaps, use " influential officials" and" dependency stratum" this kind of noun is more more appropriate than using a word expression of " middle class ".

In it is disintegrated step by step that in fact, Chinese society is being in the farming of a tradition to plough society the historical development of the new location of urban construction. Each stratum poor have to break up is still aggravating. Is in power force and interests combination are a, many matters have not clear skein. According to the Chinese reform foundation set of national economy of research institute, the recent survey report of Xiao Lu that grows king shows: In nation-wide urban resident income, the income from moonlighting not made statistics of totals to exceed4.4Wan Yi( king Xiao Lu will take in and violate rule illegally to violate century income , deserve to be queried according to its morals idea reasonability that society recognizes income, and the income with other unclear source, being called for income from moonlighting). It is to dare not also have no this courage to recognize that self is so called "middle class" that as this, many persons are afraid of. They can only say self at most

" the whole world changes< personname w:st=on productid=闄?It< personname/>Professor2020In year, China

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