Thursday, February 21, 2008

Kosovo independence

Kosovo February No.17 is one-sided to announce national independence , has raised great disturbance in international community. When for this new country recognize and Fou go up, it is also the sound that has arisen some kinds of differences. The countries such as Mei-Fa-Ying-De-Yi have shown for Kosovo recognize , and the countries such as Spain, Slovakia, Greece and Cyprus express opposition. Also, it is European Union and NATO member, why can have lie in as this different attitude and key that the country of this some oppositions has the domestic Ba-Si-Ke region of separatist forces and elephant Spain , the Hungarian clan of Slovakia inhabits a region district. And China is as them , is also to have a national unified complete problem. So when Kosovo this one has no any independence of the country of direct interests for most Chinese, in China, is also to have aroused huge repercussion. There are many people , it is definite to have put forward own opposition opinion, one is to oppose that western countries are Serbian to dismember , 2 is to become the lessons drawn from others' mistakes of Taiwan independence for Kosovo to express worry.
See according to me, the independence of Chinese
First: Do not estimate the
All are for the importance of Serbian , still source from the former American bombing south of some years alliance duration. Our media has become the south alliance metaphor at that time to oppose Tang-Ji-Ke-De of windmill. Consider as a bridgehead of Sino-Russian confrontation western hegemony. But have a look of map, you know this obvious pawn south alliance too personal thing. Millions of trivial population in, economy takes off , military strength general when NATO European Union under surround. Having not again allied with any a large country have no garrison troops of other countries, so, can a country become the piece of what weight? 1999 is afraid Serbian person before is still self matter, now perhaps, have only a kind of feeling that had been sold , Russia is in those years those and tough to declare position , which help him this pressgang brother, and it is that sworn brothers has pushed to fiery pit. Now, Kosovo stands independently , domestic expert returns when discussion Serbian the time of use force , Premier Sai has expressed that will not use force the problem that force comes to solve department independence. Strength not Ji, swinging fist also scare , do not pour who.
The relation of China and Taiwan is different with them. Kosovo is always a autonomy province of Yugoslavia in half century , although enjoys the autonomy in certain scope, but relative to Taiwan in last 60 years, is always in the state of split with continent with the name of a country( when the United Nations has staied for more than 20 years). But why can't Taiwan announce by oneself as Kosovo that stand independently? Obviously, blue green camp knows that continent will not be absolutely promised. And it is the strength with powerful continent in the behind that not promised. Otherwise, Taiwan long ago go through announce that have stood independently.
Secondly: The Taiwan problem
Serbian and the dispute of Kosovo have been often said that is the instigation aimed at Russia of western instigation. But see from the history of modern times, iron holds leading next Yugoslavia, it is always the different number in East European socialist country. Yugoslavia is not about China member , is always maintaining distance with former Soviet Union, and what carry out is also the political economic policy that other a set of relative socialist countries compare free democracy. From 50 decade, it is always not the partner of Soviet Union, it is to kiss the road of the West relatively to fall. Up to 90 decade, along with the separation of each league the republic, same illness appearance the Russian and south alliance that pities has just gone arrive is a. This kind of fragile relation effect has better to still have no this layer of relation. Actually Kosovo problem or the Yugoslav continuity that disintegrates - - - - - - begins separation however join in the republic each for now separation is autonomy province just. Yugoslavia disintegrate and the split of Serbian, key is national problem and religious problem, instead of political problem.
And continent and Taiwan are a same nations , a kind of same language, a kind of same tradition. The separatist activities of Taiwan more is the long-term insulation on the politics on economy and the ambition of partial persons. It is two different matters completely with the Albanian independent motive of Kosovo that takes 90% more.
Again: The independence
Puting aside Serbian to use to agree Kosovo independence gain the rumor of the admission ticket of European Union, Serbian is actually to have laid aside a burden - - the burden of a political economic nation after Kosovo stands independently. After Yugoslavia disintegrates , the countries such as Slovenian are close quickly to European Union , have changed economic recovery to develop , political situation stabilize , it is diplomatic and active. On the contrary, sight south alliance is hard to recover on national problem , handicaps around, have paid out more have been punished the cost that even bombs , and have to give in. Reason is because of this Kosovo chicken rib. Now, chicken rib is sold at last, plane goes the reputation problem of big nationalism( actually squeeze in clan have been touched repeatedly reputation ), as Serbian economic social development has surely, is better to promote. Since actually seeing recently few days, the speech of Serbian the president is for the measure that Kosovo adopts , the domestic reaction of people( such major event just thousands of persons go out demonstration! ), may find out , for Kosovo problem, squeeze in country domestic have also wearied. And squeeze in the anger of country expression, as if the husband and wife of divorce, though, have gotten to free oneself , mouth goes up insist to treat as self the reason as victim.
The independent genuine arising of and this Kosovo difficult problem one is the problem of legal principle, it is the criterion that has violated relevant international law and the resolution of the Security Council of some years ago. Another difficult problem is Kosovo the trend of next step problem, possible and Albanian alliance forms the problem of a big Albania. But no matter moving towards the possibility of how to light Balkan gunpowder barrel to fall , it is very little, and if European country and the United Nations can recognize quickly for Kosovo, , meeting is strong for local peace.
With China, what is related closely is first to recognize for Kosovo and Fou problem. If have recognized rashly, have violated the Chinese diplomatic principle since half century , also have to sell the suspicion of ally. ( in real hope squeeze in not is what ally) if do not recognize , wait directly until wood has become boat, lose one on the contrary to make friends the opportunity of new friend. China hopes to realize the dream of the Olympic Games of happy reunion, will lack a member attend leave regret. So, China still wants 3 to be all right after thinking , when the United States and Britain and Russia squeeze in etc. country between, better balance, select machine move.
The independence of natural Kosovo for very multinational separatist forces have certain instigate force, is in China , I think that produce the focus of influence not is in Taiwan , and it is in northwest. The Xinjiang announced several days ago shatters the news of terrorism base, reveal only stint no effort the message of cost opposition national split perhaps.

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